Multilevel analysis of fertility determinants of rural women 15-49 years Iran

Reza Noubakht, University of Tehran
Ali Ghasemi Ardahaee, National Population Studies and Comprehensive Management Institute, Iran
Mohamadreza Boroumandzade, University of Tehran
Hossain Hamidi, Payame Noor University

Iran fertility in the past two decades has experienced significant changes. Census 1390 total fertility to 8.1 children per woman has estimated Iran. Due to the changes in recent years the question arises whether all parts of the country, urban and rural, has experienced these changes. First, check whether the rural areas of Iran in terms of fertility rates are significantly different and that if there is a difference, what is decisive. Since the study is a second study, 2% of the data of the Statistical Center of Iran 1390 census were used. Two variables, variables of the individual level and the provincial level to identify and use the software program HLM7 multilevel data were analyzed. The results showed that women's fertility is significantly different in different parts of Iran. Variable level of development as the second-level variable in the equation negative impact on the number of rural children. So it can be said that rural development is inversely related to fertility. Variable levels of literacy as individual level variables explained only 7 percent changes. In addition, the study showed that the literacy level of the dependent variable in the different provinces.

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 Presented in Session P3. Poster Session 3